Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change

JENS HESSELBJERG CHRISTENSEN ET AL; CLAUDIO MENÉNDEZ (AUTOR CONTRIBUYENTE)

Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS

Año: 2014; p. 1217 - 1308

Executive Summary This chapter assesses the scientific literature on projected changes in major climate phenomena and more specifically their relevance for future change in regional climates, contingent on global mean temper¬atures continue to rise. Regional climates are the complex result of processes that vary strong¬ly with location and so respond differently to changes in global-scale influences. The following large-scale climate phenomena are increas¬ingly well simulated by climate models and so provide a scientific basis for understanding and developing credibility in future regional climate change. A phenomenon is considered relevant to regional cli¬mate change if there is confidence that it has influence on the regional climate and there is confidence that the phenomenon will change, par¬ticularly under the Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5) or higher end scenarios. {Table 14.3}