Forecasting Elections in Latin America: An Overview

MARÍA CELESTE RATTO; MICHAEL LEWIS-BECK; ERIC BELANGER

Revista Latinoamericana de Opinión Pública

Instituto de Iberomérica. Ediciones Universidad de Salamanca

Lugar: Salamanca; Año: 2022

1852-9003

The field of election forecasting has been asignificant object of study in large Western democracies. More recently,attention has spread to other parts of the democratic world, such as the newdemocracies of Eastern Europe, and other democracies outside the Europeansphere, such as Japan (Lewis-Beck and Tien, 2012). But not as much attentionhas been paid to smaller, or less industrial, democracies (Lewis-Beck andBélanger, 2012).  However, for suchdemocracies, especially those in countries with lower income levels, theelection forecasting enterprise is just showing itself. The Latin Americanregion represents an outstanding case of this relative neglect. The papers in ourspecial collection aim to overcome this gap by gathering and systematizing advancesin Latin American election forecasting that have been made by researchers there.In this way, we hope to encourage further scientific exploration of electionforecasting in this pivotal part of the democratic world.@font-face{font-family:Times;panose-1:2 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0;mso-font-charset:0;mso-generic-font-family:auto;mso-font-pitch:variable;mso-font-signature:3 0 0 0 1 0;}@font-face{font-family:Calibri;panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4;mso-font-charset:0;mso-generic-font-family:auto;mso-font-pitch:variable;mso-font-signature:3 0 0 0 1 0;}@font-face{font-family:Cambria;panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4;mso-font-charset:0;mso-generic-font-family:auto;mso-font-pitch:variable;mso-font-signature:3 0 0 0 1 0;}p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal{mso-style-parent:"";margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:10.0pt;margin-left:0cm;mso-pagination:widow-orphan;font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria;mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-fareast-font-family:Cambria;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria;mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;mso-fareast-language:EN-US;}p{margin-top:0cm;margin-right:0cm;margin-bottom:10.0pt;margin-left:0cm;mso-pagination:widow-orphan;font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-ascii-font-family:Times;mso-fareast-font-family:Cambria;mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;mso-hansi-font-family:Times;mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";}div.Section1{page:Section1;}