INVESTIGADORES
DELBIANCO Fernando AndrÉs
artículos
Título:
The relative importance of ability, luck and motivation in team sports: a Bayesian model of performance in the English Rugby Premiership
Autor/es:
FIORAVANTI, FEDERICO; DELBIANCO, FERNANDO; TOHMÉ, FERNANDO
Revista:
STATISTICAL METHODS AND APPLICATIONS
Editorial:
SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
Referencias:
Año: 2022
ISSN:
1618-2510
Resumen:
Results in contact sports like Rugby are mainly interpreted in terms of the ability and/or luck of teams. But this neglects the important role of the motivation of players, reflected in the effort exerted in the game. Here we present a Bayesian hierarchical model to infer the main features that explain score differences in rugby matches of the English Premiership Rugby 2020/2021 season. The main result is that, indeed, effort (seen as a ratio between the number of tries and the scoring kick attempts) ishighly relevant to explain outcomes in those matches.
