Non-pharmaceutical intervention to reduce COVID-19 impact in Argentina

GARCÍA-VIOLINI, DEMIÁN; SÁNCHEZ-PEÑA, RICARDO; MOSCOSO-VÁSQUEZ, MARCELA; GARELLI, FABRICIO

ISA TRANSACTIONS.

ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC

Año: 2021

0019-0578

This work is focused on the multilevel control of the population confinement in the city of Buenos Aires and its surroundings due to the pandemic generated by the COVID-19 outbreak. The model used here is known as SEIRD and two objectives are sought: a time-varying identification of the infection rate and the inclusion of a controller. A control differential equation has been added to regulate the transitions between confinement and normal life, according to five different levels. The plasma treatment from recovered patients has also been considered in the control algorithm. Using the proposed strategy the ICU occupancy is reduced, and as a consequence, the number of deaths is also decreased.