No evidence for disruption of global patterns of nest predation in shorebirds

MARTIN BULLA; D'AMICO VL- 58 DE 60 AUTORES POR ORDEN ALFABÉTICO POR NOMBRE

SCIENCE

AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE

Año: 2019

0036-8075

No evidence for disruption of global patterns of nest predation in shorebirdsMartin Bulla, Jeroen Reneerkens, Emily L. Weiser, Aleksandr Sokolov , Audrey R. Taylor , Benoît Sittler, Brian J. McCaffery, Dan R. Ruthrauff11, Daniel H. Catlin, David C. Payer, David H. Ward, Diana V. Solovyeva, Eduardo S.A. Santos, Eldar Rakhimberdiev, Erica Nol, Eunbi Kwon12, Glen S. Brown, Glenda D. Hevia , H. River Gates , James A. Johnson21, Jan A. van Gils2 , Jannik Hanse, Jean-François Lamarre, Jennie Rausch, Jesse R. Conklin4 , Joe Liebezeit25, Joël Bêty26, Johannes Lang, José A. Alves, Juan Fernández-Elipe, Klaus Michael-Exo, Loïc Bollache , Marcelo Bertellotti, Marie-Andrée Giroux, Martijn van de Pol, Matthew Johnson35, Megan L. Boldenow, Mihai Valcu, Mikhail Soloviev, Natalya Sokolova, Nathan R. Senner, Nicolas Lecomte, Nicolas Meyer, Niels Martin Schmidt, Olivier Gilg, Paul A. Smith , Paula Machín, Rebecca L. McGuire, Ricardo A.S. Cerboncini, Richard Ottvall, Rob S.A. van Bemmelen44, Rose J. Swift, Sarah T. Saalfeld, Sarah E. Jamieson, Stephen Brown, Theunis Piersma, Tomas Albrecht, Verónica D´Amico, Richard B. Lanctot, Bart Kempenaers. These authors formed the core team behind the Technical Comment. The remaining authors are listed alphabetically according to their first name.Abstract Kubelka et al. (Science, 9 November 2018, p. 680-683) claim that climate change has disrupted patterns of nest predation in shorebirds. They report that predation rates have increased since the 1950s, especially in the Arctic. We describe methodological problems with their analyses and argue that there is no solid statistical support for their claims.