Principal Sequence Pattern Analysis: A New Approach for Understanding the Evolution of Atmospheric Systems

COMPAGNUCCI, ROSA H.; ARANEO, DIEGO C.; CANZIANI, PABLO O.

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY

Glenn R. McGregor

Lugar: Birmingham, UK; Año: 2001 vol. 21 p. 197 - 217

0899-8418

A new eigentechnique, Principal Sequence Pattern Analysis (PSPA), is introduced for the analysis of spatial pattern sequence, as an extension of the traditional Principal Component Analysis set in the T-Mode.  In this setting the variables are sequences of k spatial fields of a given meteorological variable. PSPA is described and applied to a sample of 256 consecutive daily 1000hPa geopotential height fields. The results of the application of the technique to 5-day sequences demonstrate the advantages of this procedure in identifying field pattern sequences, thereby allowing the determination of the evolution and development of the systems, together with cyclogenesis and anticyclogenesis processes. In order to complete the study, the more traditional Extended Empirical Orthogonal Function Analysis (EEOF), which is the S-mode equivalent of the PSPA, was applied to the same dataset. For EEOF, it was not possible to identify any real sequences that could correspond to the sequences of patterns yielded by the EEOF.  Furthermore, the explained variance distribution in the EEOF was significantly different from that obtained with PSPA. Conversely, the PSPA approach allowed for the identification of the sequences corresponding to those sequences observed in the data. Using diagrams of the squares of the component loadings values, as a function of time, the study of the times of occurrence of dominant field characteristics was also possible. In other words, successful determination of periods where the basic flow was dominant and times when strongly perturbed transient events with significant meridional component occurred, was facilitated by PSPA.