Unemployment persistence in Argentina. Micro and macroeconomic analysis of its regional incidence

FÉLIZ, MARIANO; PÉREZ, PABLO ERNESTO; PANIGO, DEMIAN TUPAC

World Economic Forum

Fudan University

Lugar: Shanghai; Año: 2004 vol. 2 p. 1 - 20

The aim of this paper is to develop a simple methodology in order to study regional unemployment persistence in Argentina. We use two complementary perspectives, combining a macroeconomic (aggregate) hysteresis approach with a microeconomic dynamic (individual-two-stage) evaluation. Macroeconomic results indicate that most of shocks affecting the unemployment rate in different regions and population sub-groups are predominantly persistent (because both participation and mainly employment hysteresis). On the other hand, the microeconomic analysis allow us to detect a strong state-dependence effect (for most regions and mainly for young people and women), while duration-dependence is only significative for high unemployment periods.