CIMA   09099
CENTRO DE INVESTIGACIONES DEL MAR Y LA ATMOSFERA
Unidad Ejecutora - UE
artículos
Título:
The influence of a dry winter on the development of the South-American monsoon
Autor/es:
SÖRENSSON A. A., C. G. MENÉNDEZ, P. SAMUELSSON
Revista:
ILEAPS Newsletter
Editorial:
iLEAPS International Project Office/ IGBP
Referencias:
Lugar: Helsinki; Año: 2009 vol. 7 p. 19 - 19
ISSN:
1796-0363
Resumen:
In this sensitivity study, we used the Rossby
Centre regional atmosphere model RCA3 [1]
modified by including the surface database
Ecoclimap and by adjusting the atmospheric
physics to improve the performance of the
model for tropical and subtropical climates
(RCA3-E). The continental model domain
had a horizontal resolution of 0.5º and 24
levels in the vertical.
In the tropical and subtropical South
America, a warm-season precipitation maximum
associated with the South American
Monsoon System (SAMS) dominates the
seasonal precipitation cycle. The ongoing
deforestation in South America can decrease
soil moisture in the region which, in turn, can
potentially modify the monsoon rainfall.
Previous studies of the effect of modified
soil moisture on SAMS have led to quite opposite
results [2, 3]. On the one hand, a dryer
soil can lead to higher air column temperatures
because evapotranspiration (latent
heat flux; evaporation from surfaces and
transpiration by plants) decreases and, therefore,
a larger portion of outgoing energy will
be in the form of warm air rising (sensible
heat flux). This increases the thermal gradient
between the continent and the ocean
which can produce stronger inflow of the
Atlantic trade winds over the continent,
bringing moisture to the monsoon region
and producing an early onset of the
monsoon. On the other hand, some studies
[e.g. 2] have shown that destabilisation of
the atmosphere through latent heat flux influences
the large-scale circulation triggering
the inflow of trade winds. A dry disturbance
resulting in weaker latent heat fluxes may,
therefore, lead to a later onset of the
monsoon.
We explored the influence of anomalous
soil moisture in late austral winter on the
development of SAMS through two ensembles
of simulations. The first ensemble was
initialised with extremely dry and the other
one with extremely wet soil moisture conditions
over the whole continent. Members of
each ensemble differed only in initialisation
dates.
Our study covered the monsoon of only
one summer, from August 1992 to March
1993. However, the surface and dynamical
processes of SAMS act independently of the
large-scale conditions [3, 4] and could therefore
be similar in other summers. Our results
showed that soil moisture anomalies induce
both large-scale and local precipitation responses.
The difference between the wet and
dry ensemble in the partitioning of surface
fluxes (the relationship of latent heat flux to
sensible heat flux) induced a large difference
between the ensembles in air column temperature
over the central part of Amazonia.
In the dry ensemble, the continental air
temperature was higher and brought in
stronger Atlantic trade winds over the northern
part of the continent that were blocked
and turned anti-clockwise to the south by
the Andes mountains. Moisture convergence
for dry initial conditions was therefore larger
than for wet conditions east of the northern
Andes and in southern Amazonia, producing
more rainfall over these regions during
spring (Sep-Oct).
In summer (Dec-Jan), precipitation was
stronger in the wet ensemble than in the
dry one in central Amazonia. Because no difference
was observed in moisture convergence
(a large-scale phenomenon) in this region
among the two ensembles, an explanation
could be local precipitation recycling:
the region remained wetter since springtime
precipitation was similar in both wet and dry
ensembles although the soil moisture conditions
differed.
Our results are only preliminary. A more
thorough analysis on different time scales is
in progress. n
the atmosphere through latent heat flux influences
the large-scale circulation triggering
the inflow of trade winds. A dry disturbance
resulting in weaker latent heat fluxes may,
therefore, lead to a later onset of the
monsoon.
We explored the influence of anomalous
soil moisture in late austral winter on the
development of SAMS through two ensembles
of simulations. The first ensemble was
initialised with extremely dry and the other
one with extremely wet soil moisture conditions
over the whole continent. Members of
each ensemble differed only in initialisation
dates.
Our study covered the monsoon of only
one summer, from August 1992 to March
1993. However, the surface and dynamical
processes of SAMS act independently of the
large-scale conditions [3, 4] and could therefore
be similar in other summers. Our results
showed that soil moisture anomalies induce
both large-scale and local precipitation responses.
The difference between the wet and
dry ensemble in the partitioning of surface
fluxes (the relationship of latent heat flux to
sensible heat flux) induced a large difference
between the ensembles in air column temperature
over the central part of Amazonia.
In the dry ensemble, the continental air
temperature was higher and brought in
stronger Atlantic trade winds over the northern
part of the continent that were blocked
and turned anti-clockwise to the south by
the Andes mountains. Moisture convergence
for dry initial conditions was therefore larger
than for wet conditions east of the northern
Andes and in southern Amazonia, producing
more rainfall over these regions during
spring (Sep-Oct).
In summer (Dec-Jan), precipitation was
stronger in the wet ensemble than in the
dry one in central Amazonia. Because no difference
was observed in moisture convergence
(a large-scale phenomenon) in this region
among the two ensembles, an explanation
could be local precipitation recycling:
the region remained wetter since springtime
precipitation was similar in both wet and dry
ensembles although the soil moisture conditions
differed.
Our results are only preliminary. A more
thorough analysis on different time scales is
in progress. n
e.g. 2] have shown that destabilisation of
the atmosphere through latent heat flux influences
the large-scale circulation triggering
the inflow of trade winds. A dry disturbance
resulting in weaker latent heat fluxes may,
therefore, lead to a later onset of the
monsoon.
We explored the influence of anomalous
soil moisture in late austral winter on the
development of SAMS through two ensembles
of simulations. The first ensemble was
initialised with extremely dry and the other
one with extremely wet soil moisture conditions
over the whole continent. Members of
each ensemble differed only in initialisation
dates.
Our study covered the monsoon of only
one summer, from August 1992 to March
1993. However, the surface and dynamical
processes of SAMS act independently of the
large-scale conditions [3, 4] and could therefore
be similar in other summers. Our results
showed that soil moisture anomalies induce
both large-scale and local precipitation responses.
The difference between the wet and
dry ensemble in the partitioning of surface
fluxes (the relationship of latent heat flux to
sensible heat flux) induced a large difference
between the ensembles in air column temperature
over the central part of Amazonia.
In the dry ensemble, the continental air
temperature was higher and brought in
stronger Atlantic trade winds over the northern
part of the continent that were blocked
and turned anti-clockwise to the south by
the Andes mountains. Moisture convergence
for dry initial conditions was therefore larger
than for wet conditions east of the northern
Andes and in southern Amazonia, producing
more rainfall over these regions during
spring (Sep-Oct).
In summer (Dec-Jan), precipitation was
stronger in the wet ensemble than in the
dry one in central Amazonia. Because no difference
was observed in moisture convergence
(a large-scale phenomenon) in this region
among the two ensembles, an explanation
could be local precipitation recycling:
the region remained wetter since springtime
precipitation was similar in both wet and dry
ensembles although the soil moisture conditions
differed.
Our results are only preliminary. A more
thorough analysis on different time scales is
in progress. nn

